The Yankees won a huge game Friday night which put them only half a game behind the Toronto Blue Jays. The following day the Yankees lost a very tight game that should have been won, and moved back into a one a half game pit after Toronto’s win saturday. The tough loss is upsetting and gives the bombers a much smaller chance for the AL East title. The Yankees still have 30 games left and could certainly pull off taking the division lead.
I’m so sorry for my lack of writing for such a long time, but I am happy to announce that I am coming back to blogging and covering the Yankees!
So here we go…
The New York Yankees are currently 1 1/5 games behind the Toronto Blue Jays for the AL East Division lead, and 4 games ahead for the first AL Wild Card spot, and this is with 30 games left in the regular season. So when we look at the playoff chances, we are talking about almost a sure spot at the Wild Card, and a reasonable chance at the Division title. Baseball Prospectus has the Yankees at 98 percent chance of making the playoffs, and that’s with 30.2 percent for the division. The fact that the Yanks have been playing so well has contributed to these percentages. The Bombers have won 5 of their last 6 games, but haven’t been able to catch the Blue Jays after they have won 8 of their last 10 and been playing amazing since the Trade Deadline, where they made a few key acquisitions which should boost them strongly into the playoffs, with one of the best offenses in baseball. All the rest of the teams in the East aren’t realistically in the picture anymore with the best after the Yankees being the Tampa Bay Rays with a mere 7.7 percent for the playoffs, and the Orioles and Red Sox both at less than 1 percent.The very interesting thing about this race, other than the fact that its so neck and neck, is that the Blue Jays and Yankees have the top two offenses in runs scored in the majors!
Other than the offense, which has been carrying the Yankees all season long, a couple of young faces have appeared in the Yankees rotation, which have quietly helped the club greatly. Those names are Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Severino. Eovaldi currently has the best winning percentage for all MLB starters with .875 winning percentage. That has come partially because of the run support he gets, but he definitely has been a great surprise. Severino, or “Sevy”, the rookie who came up pretty recently, has had an outstanding 2.19 ERA, and a strikeout per inning. He is young and can carry a good, young Yankees rotation into the playoffs.
This is the second of a possible series of writing that is about the possibility of the New York Yankees not having a good season. I consider a great season for the Yankees winning the World Series. I consider a good season making the playoffs.
In the first post in this series I discussed if the Yankees were doomed in last year’s playoffs. Here in the continuation, I will write briefly about whether or not I think the Yanks will have a successful season, and if they do, which place will they get into, etc.
It is completely and totally correct to blame the Yankees for their quiet and seemingly unhelpful off-season, especially compared to the big changes the other teams in the AL East made, it may look so, but it is not enough to finally say that the Bombers do not have a chance to make the playoffs, and certainly not enough to say they might be in the bottom of the division. For starters, the Yankees are still a much better team than The Boston Red Sox without doubt. Secondly, the Yanks can be said, arguably, better than any other team in the East in a least one big topic.
The Yankees are better than:
Boston Red Sox: The Bombers biggest lead over the Red Sox has to be pitching. The Yankees have a medium edge in Starting Pitching, but a big edge in Relief.
Baltimore Orioles: The Yankees have a few medium leads over the Orioles in stats, but the biggest is the difference in the right side of the infield. Robinson Cano is so much better than Ryan Flaherty, and Mark Teixeira creams Chris Davis in defense and power.
Tampa Bay Rays: Power is considered one of the most important factors in baseball. This is what Tampa flaws the most at. The Yankees have one of the best offenses in the game that this is easily the biggest edge over the Rays easily.
Toronto Blue Jays: The Jays are one of the best teams in baseball, seeing as the huge off-season moves they made, getting big players like: R.A. Dickey, Jose Reyes, and Mark Buehrle. New York edges Toronto by a lot in the category of Relief pitching. Relief is one of the only flaws of Toronto.
I am guessing that the AL East will end up in the order:
1: Toronto Blue Jays
2: New York Yankees
3: Baltimore Orioles
4: Tampa Bay Rays
5: Boston Red Sox
It is important to understand that it was tough to make these choices, and that there is a very big chance that my predictions will be wrong.
Stay tuned Yankees Universe.
Sorry that I haven’t been writing very often, but now I am. All the postseason berths are set in the AL going on to the last day of the season. The Yankees, Orioles, A’s ,Rangers, and Tigers have all clinched playoff berths.
In the AL East the Yankees win the division if they earn a win or the Orioles have a loss. At this point the Yanks are ahead of the Orioles by 1 game on the last day of the MLB regular season. New York had it’s win last night with a walk-off single in the 12th. The Yankees seem very prepared for the playoffs, having a 3 game winning streak.
Stay tuned for tomorrow.
Here are my thoughts on how the AL East race will turn out:*
1st New York Yankees: The Yankees will,as usual,have an amazing season. If they can sign another good pitcher, their only problem will be fixed. All they need to do is improve pitching.
2nd Tampa Bay Rays: The Rays will have a great season for one reason:Pitching. Their pitching rotation is one of the best in the game,led by James Shields. Their problem is that they don’t have enough big bats.
3rd Boston Red Sox: This one is tough. They slightly edge out the Blue Jays because they have good hitting. Like the Yankees the Sox need to improve pitching;and a little hitting and defense.
4th Toronto Blue Jays: They made be one of the most improved teams in the Major Leagues. They have a big problem. They are in the toughest division in the game. If the Blue Jays improve a little in all their categories, the could go to the postseason in a year or two.
5th Baltimore Orioles: The Orioles will be again a bad,rundown team. But,they are slightly improving over the years. They need all their major categories greatly improved. They must bring up their top prospect, Manny Machado to have less than 65 wins.
There will be a tough,fun division race next season.
*Due to additional free agent signings, predictions may not be fully accurate.