I’m so sorry for my lack of writing for such a long time, but I am happy to announce that I am coming back to blogging and covering the Yankees!
So here we go…
The New York Yankees are currently 1 1/5 games behind the Toronto Blue Jays for the AL East Division lead, and 4 games ahead for the first AL Wild Card spot, and this is with 30 games left in the regular season. So when we look at the playoff chances, we are talking about almost a sure spot at the Wild Card, and a reasonable chance at the Division title. Baseball Prospectus has the Yankees at 98 percent chance of making the playoffs, and that’s with 30.2 percent for the division. The fact that the Yanks have been playing so well has contributed to these percentages. The Bombers have won 5 of their last 6 games, but haven’t been able to catch the Blue Jays after they have won 8 of their last 10 and been playing amazing since the Trade Deadline, where they made a few key acquisitions which should boost them strongly into the playoffs, with one of the best offenses in baseball. All the rest of the teams in the East aren’t realistically in the picture anymore with the best after the Yankees being the Tampa Bay Rays with a mere 7.7 percent for the playoffs, and the Orioles and Red Sox both at less than 1 percent.The very interesting thing about this race, other than the fact that its so neck and neck, is that the Blue Jays and Yankees have the top two offenses in runs scored in the majors!
Other than the offense, which has been carrying the Yankees all season long, a couple of young faces have appeared in the Yankees rotation, which have quietly helped the club greatly. Those names are Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Severino. Eovaldi currently has the best winning percentage for all MLB starters with .875 winning percentage. That has come partially because of the run support he gets, but he definitely has been a great surprise. Severino, or “Sevy”, the rookie who came up pretty recently, has had an outstanding 2.19 ERA, and a strikeout per inning. He is young and can carry a good, young Yankees rotation into the playoffs.
Here are my thoughts on how the AL East race will turn out:*
1st New York Yankees: The Yankees will,as usual,have an amazing season. If they can sign another good pitcher, their only problem will be fixed. All they need to do is improve pitching.
2nd Tampa Bay Rays: The Rays will have a great season for one reason:Pitching. Their pitching rotation is one of the best in the game,led by James Shields. Their problem is that they don’t have enough big bats.
3rd Boston Red Sox: This one is tough. They slightly edge out the Blue Jays because they have good hitting. Like the Yankees the Sox need to improve pitching;and a little hitting and defense.
4th Toronto Blue Jays: They made be one of the most improved teams in the Major Leagues. They have a big problem. They are in the toughest division in the game. If the Blue Jays improve a little in all their categories, the could go to the postseason in a year or two.
5th Baltimore Orioles: The Orioles will be again a bad,rundown team. But,they are slightly improving over the years. They need all their major categories greatly improved. They must bring up their top prospect, Manny Machado to have less than 65 wins.
There will be a tough,fun division race next season.
*Due to additional free agent signings, predictions may not be fully accurate.
Mariano Rivera tied Trevor Hoffman for the most saves all-time yesterday with 601.
Today can be the day he breaks it. (The Yankees play the Blue Jays at 1:05 ET.)
Do you think he will break it today,I have a poll about it.
I personally think that it is possible, but Rivera won’t break the mark.
Ricky Romero is a starter in the Blue Jays’ rotation. The 26-year-old was pushed to the front of Toronto’s starting rotation following the departure of No. 1 starter Shaun Marcum. Now, with less than six weeks left in the season, it’s hard to believe the doubts ever existed. At the start of the season Ricky was losing, but was a quality starter even before, in his first two seasons he won at least 13 games. This year he was an All-Star with an 8-9 record. Not very good to make the roster. There were two reasons for that.
1. He replaced a pitcher because they pitched the day before, so they were immediately disqualified.
2. Romero plays for the Blue Jays,which are a bad team but surprisingly improving , with a 64-60 record (516. winning percentage).
Now Romero is 12-9 with 2.73 ERA with four complete games and two shutouts ( he had one yesterday against the A’s).
I think by the end of the end of the season he will be one of the most dominant pitchers in the league, throwing many complete games.
Doug Fister (3-11 3.30 ERA) has not that much run support. Fister retired the first 10 Blue Jays he faced last time out before unraveling and leaving in the seventh after giving up four earned runs on five hits. He has received just 25 runs of support in the 15 games Seattle has lost when he starts. C.C. Sabathia (14-5 2.62 ERA) is the most consistent pitcer in the Major Leagues.Sabathia had his seven-game winning streak snapped against James Shields and the Rays on Thursday, but he still dominated, giving up just two runs in eight innings. The lefty is now 11-2 with a 2.12 ERA since May 19.
I think Sabathia will cruise to an easy win in game two of the Mariners/Yankees three game set.